Implications for climate and sea level of revised IPCC emissionsscenarios

阅读量:

126

作者:

TML WigleySCB Raper

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摘要:

A new set of greenhouse gas emissions scenarios has been produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Incorporating these into models that also include the effects of C0 2 fertilization, feedback from stratospheric ozone depletion and the radiative effects of sulphate aerosols yields new projections for radiative forcing of climate and for changes in global-mean temperature and sea level. Changes in temperature and sea level are predicted to be less severe than those estimated previously, but are still far beyond the limits of natural variability.

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DOI:

10.1038/357293a0

被引量:

1100

年份:

1992

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1995
被引量:100

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